2011年12月25日星期日

high growing pessimism

129667840494990392_219Earlier this week, Moody's warned France at present AAA sovereign credit rating may be affected; United States Red reduction agreement negotiations break down, Germany blocked auction Treasury bonds, weak economic data showed Eurozone growth, United States-than-expected third-quarter GDP data. Switzerland Credit Bank research report noted that due to the current debt crisis spreading to larger economies of trend,The euro has arrived, "final crisis", Germany's Central Bank released monthly, 2012 Germany growth forecast lowered to 0.5% per cent, and warned that if the serious deterioration of the European sovereign debt crisis, did not rule out its economy to "significantly weaker" possibilities. Raised investors ' fears of debt crisis in Europe and America, Europe, stock prices fell and globalThe commodity futures market turmoil. Analysts believe that Europe's debt crisis could trigger a global recession, global financial markets has been to the brink of disaster, euro-negative-frequency, high growing pessimism, fate and the future of the eurozone for some time the prospects for world stock markets, is likely to depend on whether Europe can reach a temporary agreement in the near future, to findTo the solution of the debt crisis to win time. Europe debt crisis aggravated by the present situation, the EU and the eurozone Summit a package agreement on the sovereign debt crisis, does not seem to play a substantive role in stabilizing the financial markets. European debt crisis to the impact of the growing global financial markets, but also seriously hindered the pace of economic recovery in Europe, and by the European debt crisis caused by theDomino effect as spread as possible, showing trend of spreading to the eurozone core countries. France existing AAA ratings downgrade may, Germany 23rd issue of the failure of government bonds. As Europe's leading economic powers Germany thermal holds the good assets of long-term government bonds has been a capital market, which suffered indifference reflected investors ' pessimistic Outlook for the eurozone economy.Fitch Ratings on Thursday announced a Portugal sovereign rating to junk level, and given a negative Outlook. In addition, the 10-year Italy yields rose again Thursday to more than 7%; Spain bond yields continue to rise over the same period. While Germany and France in the European Central Bank come to the rescue as well as the issuance of euro-bonds remain large differences on the issue. And recent does not concern us debtCrisis began gradually to emerge. On November 21, the United States Congress announced that failed to reach agreement on a reduction at Chek Lap Kok. Moody's said, taking into account the United States further reduce the deficit, reversing the upward trend of debt for some time was needed, therefore maintaining United States "negative" ratings Outlook unchanged. Analysts believe that if both parties in Congress has been unable to reach agreement, means the United States at 2013Activate the auto deficit reduction mechanism, which will be greater extent affected the United States Defense of people's livelihood, and United States economic recovery have a far-reaching impact. Political disputes delaying resolution of the crisis, and it's become increasingly pessimistic sentiment of important factors. According to the United States third-quarter GDP growth was revised down to 2%, below market expectations, United States in November, MichiganConsumer confidence is 64.1 also fell short of expectations. Analysts pointed out that United States economic recovery fragile, levels of consumer confidence index has been in a recession, talks reflected the serious differences between the two parties in Congress, but also reinforced the uncertainty in the minds of consumers, the Fed may consider implementing new policies, or the European debt crisis will bring new risks. High debt, Higher deficits, high unemployment, sluggish economy is highly common situations faced by the debtor countries, at present no country willing to pay a long-term price for resolving Europe's debt crisis. Cuts in public spending, compress budget deficit the old republic power leveling, but also makes recovery more difficult. Analysts believe that because of the European economy in deep debt crisis embarrassed, United States debt problem there are signs of further deterioration, caused byMake the Western economic prospects bleak, being dragged down economic downturn trend in Europe and America, have the possibility of slowing global economic growth. Global capital market dismal recent capital market trends, UPS and downs of European debt crisis will undoubtedly affect the nerve of global stock markets, working on expectations about the investor's decision, endless delays in testing the resilience of markets. SinceBlack Monday this week, Europe is accelerating declining swtor power leveling, while the Asia-Pacific stock markets, as well as the rest of the world has also been declining. Road funds duolu escape escape risk, causing global stock markets, commodities, gold market declines. As of dispatch, the United States all the three major stock indexes decrease this week Super 4.3%, United Kingdom FTSE 100Index weeks or 4.39%; Germany DAX index of 30 weeks or 6.42%; France week CAC 40 index was down by 5.83%. Asia-Pacific stock markets Japan week or 2.56%, Australia week decrease of 4.45%, Korea-week decrease of 3.41%, the Singapore stock market week decrease of 3.16%, India stock market week or 4.13%. This week the international commodity markets also fell. In view of the European debt crisis on Wednesday Germany failed in the auction, as well as sluggish economic data, eurozone policymakers at the slow pace of finding a solution to the crisis on the way, the festering European debt problems will continue for some time, the global capital market pessimism growing, this has contributed to this comprehensiveMarket is gloomy because the ball. Analysts believe that the European debt crisis dragged the longer, the more difficult to solve, the more deep extent of the damage caused by the crisis, European debt crisis to prepare for worst case. In the middle of four quarters, analysts widely on 2012 capital market movements are expected. China Merchants securities believes that capital market in 2012Will more dominated by macroeconomic factors, including the evolution of the European debt crisis, United States economic trend, the situation of China's economic growth and inflation, and the trend of macro-policy, which will to a large extent determine the mood swings of the capital market, as well as the possible investment topics. (www.ccstock.cc)

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